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MLB Best Bets for August 4: Cardinals-Yankees Under, Mets, Cubs Value Picks

Iain MacMillan's daily $100 betting challenge continues with four MLB picks for August 4, including a Cardinals-Yankees UNDER, Braves, Mets, and Cubs. He analyzes matchups and recent trends.

MLB Best Bets for August 4: Cardinals-Yankees Under, Mets, Cubs Value Picks
Graphic: Amrit Khabar NewsroomImage rights policy

Key Facts

Challenge
Betting $100 every day for a year
Monday Record
1-2, loss of $49
Total Bets Today
4 bets totaling $100
Featured Matchups
Cardinals-Yankees, Braves-Marlins, Mets-Guardians, Cubs-Dodgers
Notable Pitchers
Ryan Gusto (Marlins), Sean Manaea (Mets), Joey Cantillo (Guardians), Tarik Skubal (Dodgers)

Background

Iain MacMillan, a senior editor covering betting for SI, is in the midst of a challenge where he bets $100 every day for a year. His start to the week was less than stellar, going 1-2 for a loss of $49.

For Tuesday's action, he has identified a loaded slate of MLB games and has provided his best bets for the day. His picks include a mix of favorites and underdogs across several matchups.

Today's Best Bets

MacMillan's first bet is $30 on the Cardinals vs. Yankees UNDER 8.5 (-114) via BetRivers. He notes that he placed the same bet yesterday, which saw 20 runs scored, but he is not deterred. He points out that both teams have been among the worst offenses in baseball over the past month, ranking 27th and 30th in wRC+.

His second bet is $30 on the Braves -142 vs. Marlins via FanDuel. He highlights that Marlins starter Ryan Gusto has an ERA of 5.31 and allowed six earned runs in his last start against the Phillies. The Braves, meanwhile, are seventh in the Majors in wRC+ over the past 30 days.

He also placed $20 on the Mets +136 vs. Guardians via FanDuel. This matchup features lefties Sean Manaea (4.42 ERA) for the Mets and Joey Cantillo (3.88 ERA) for the Guardians. MacMillan notes that the Mets have been better against lefties, with a wRC+ of 96, while the Guardians have a wRC+ of 86 against lefties, the third-worst in MLB.

Finally, he placed $20 on the Cubs +190 vs. Dodgers via Caesars. Despite Tarik Skubal making his Dodgers debut, MacMillan points out that the Cubs lead MLB in virtually every offensive metric against left-handed pitchers, with a wRC+ of 122 and an OPS of .795. He believes the Cubs are undervalued as underdogs.

Today's Bets Summary
Bet Amount Odds Sportsbook
Cardinals vs. Yankees UNDER 8.5$30-114BetRivers
Braves -142 vs. Marlins$30-142FanDuel
Mets +136 vs. Guardians$20+136FanDuel
Cubs +190 vs. Dodgers$20+190Caesars
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Potential Impact

These bets reflect MacMillan's analysis of recent team performance and pitching matchups. If his picks are correct, he could recover from Monday's loss and improve his overall record in the challenge.

For bettors following his advice, these picks offer potential value, especially the underdog plays on the Mets and Cubs. However, as with all gambling, outcomes are uncertain and odds are subject to change.

Future Outlook

Scenario analysis: The possibilities below are not certain predictions.

If the Cardinals and Yankees continue their offensive struggles, the UNDER could hit despite yesterday's high-scoring game. However, if their bats stay hot, the bet may fail again.

The Braves are expected to capitalize on Gusto's struggles, but if he pitches well, the Marlins could cover. Similarly, the Mets and Cubs could win if their lefty-hitting prowess prevails, but strong pitching performances from Manaea or Skubal could change the outcome.

MacMillan will continue his daily betting challenge, and his record will be updated as the season progresses. Bettors should consider these picks as part of a broader strategy and gamble responsibly.

Source: si.com

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Today's Bets Summary

3022.5157.5030302020Cardinals vs. Yankees UNDER 8.5Cardinals vs. Y…Braves -142 vs. MarlinsBraves -142 vs.…Mets +136 vs. GuardiansMets +136 vs. G…Cubs +190 vs. DodgersCubs +190 vs. D…
Cardinals vs. Yankees UNDER 8.530
Braves -142 vs. Marlins30
Mets +136 vs. Guardians20
Cubs +190 vs. Dodgers20

Cubs +190 vs. Dodgers20

सटीक आंकड़े देखें
श्रेणीAmountOdds
Cardinals vs. Yankees UNDER 8.530-114
Braves -142 vs. Marlins30-142
Mets +136 vs. Guardians20136
Cubs +190 vs. Dodgers20190

स्रोत:si.com स्रोत-समर्थित

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