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BP's Q2 profit more than doubles to over US$5 billion after Iran war oil surge

BP's Q2 profit more than doubled to US$5.73 billion on higher oil and gas prices, beating expectations. The company raised its dividend and outlined plans to sell US biogas and North Sea businesses.

BP's Q2 profit more than doubles to over US$5 billion after Iran war oil surge
Graphic: Amrit Khabar NewsroomImage rights policy

Key Facts

Q2 underlying replacement cost profit
US$5.73 billion
Year-ago Q2 profit
US$2.35 billion
Dividend per share
US$0.866 (up 4%)
CEO
Meg O'Neill
Planned divestments
US biogas (Archaea), UK North Sea, Austria retail
2026 capex guidance
US$13.5 billion to US$14 billion

Background

BP reported on Tuesday (Aug 4) that its second-quarter underlying replacement cost profit more than doubled to US$5.73 billion, driven by higher oil and gas prices and strong refining margins. The result beat the US$5.11 billion average estimate in a company-provided poll of analysts and rose from US$2.35 billion a year earlier.

Oil majors have benefited this year from market volatility caused by the US-Iran conflict, which has disrupted energy flows and tightened global supplies. BP's net profit in Q2 was the highest for any quarter since Q3 2022, and profits across its businesses beat expectations.

CEO Meg O'Neill, who took over in April, outlined five priorities for the company: further strengthening the balance sheet, improving operational performance, and creating structures that enable faster decision-making and greater accountability. She acknowledged past shortcomings, saying, 'We are not making the most of our potential.'

Current Situation

BP said it would increase its dividend by 4 per cent to US$0.866 per ordinary share for the quarter. The company also launched processes to sell its US biogas business Archaea, which it bought in 2022 for US$4.1 billion as part of an aggressive renewables expansion that it abandoned in 2025.

In recent weeks, BP completed the sale of its Gelsenkirchen refinery, agreed to sell its retail business in Austria, and announced its intention to sell its UK North Sea business. O'Neill revealed that several companies have expressed interest in buying the North Sea business.

BP expects capital expenditure in 2026 to come in at US$13.5 billion to US$14 billion, reflecting a decision to delay asset farm-downs and capture better value. Previous guidance was US$13 billion to US$13.5 billion. The company also expects to reach US$15 billion to US$16 billion of a US$20 billion divestment programme announced in 2025, for delivery by the end of 2027.

BP Q2 2026 Key Metrics
Metric Q2 2026 Q1 2026 Year Earlier
Underlying profit (US$bn)5.73N/A2.35
Customers & products pre-tax profit (US$bn)4.95N/A1.53
Upstream plant reliability (%)92.495.7N/A
Production (million boe/day)2.2N/AN/A
Brent crude average (US$/barrel)977867
European gas price (euros/MWh)464036
Figures as reported by BP. N/A indicates data not provided in the source.

Impacts

BP's pre-tax profit at its customers and products unit, which includes its oil trading desk, was US$4.95 billion, above the average estimate of US$4.46 billion and up from US$1.53 billion a year earlier. Upstream plant reliability fell to 92.4 per cent in Q2 from 95.7 per cent in the previous quarter, and production declined to 2.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.

The company's exit from the North Sea reflects repeated changes in UK policy on oil and natural gas, which have made the basin less attractive for investment. O'Neill noted that BP has had a presence in the North Sea for more than 50 years, but said the decision was about capital discipline and capital allocation.

BP is the last remaining global oil major to have its own standalone North Sea business after rivals Shell and TotalEnergies combined their operations with others. The divestment and focus on oil and gas could affect jobs and communities dependent on the North Sea, though specific impacts remain unclear.

Future Outlook

Scenario analysis: The possibilities below are not certain predictions.

BP's priorities will be judged on execution, according to RBC analysts. They said ownership of historical failings is a good step forward for the investment case, but more clarity on the financial framework and tangible plans is needed.

O'Neill said total liabilities expected at around US$40 billion by the end of this year were still too high, though BP is expected to hit a net debt target of US$14 billion to US$18 billion earlier than initially planned. If BP successfully executes its divestment programme and reduces liabilities, it could strengthen its balance sheet and improve shareholder returns.

However, if oil prices fall or operational issues persist, BP may face challenges in meeting its targets. The company's ability to sell its North Sea and biogas businesses will depend on market conditions and regulatory approvals. If the new UK government supports North Sea investment, BP might reconsider its exit, but no such reversal has been announced.

Source: businesstimes.com.sg

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BP Q2 2026 Key Metrics

Q2 2026
9772.7548.524.2505.734.9592.42.29746Underlying profit (US$bn)Underlying prof…Customers & products pre-tax profit (US$bn)Customers & pro…Upstream plant reliability (%)Upstream plant …Production (million boe/day)Production (mil…Brent crude average (US$/barrel)Brent crude ave…European gas price (euros/MWh)European gas pr…
Underlying profit (US$bn)5.73
Customers & products pre-tax profit (US$bn)4.95
Upstream plant reliability (%)92.4
Production (million boe/day)2.2
Brent crude average (US$/barrel)97
European gas price (euros/MWh)46

European gas price (euros/MWh)46

सटीक आंकड़े देखें
श्रेणीQ2 2026
Underlying profit (US$bn)5.73
Customers & products pre-tax profit (US$bn)4.95
Upstream plant reliability (%)92.4
Production (million boe/day)2.2
Brent crude average (US$/barrel)97
European gas price (euros/MWh)46

स्रोत:businesstimes.com.sg स्रोत-समर्थित

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